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Sports & EsportsBasketballNBAScoringOff-chain board—

Will the NBA's highest-scoring game this month break 150 points in regulation?

Implied probability

29%

Liquidity

$38.1K

Traders

227

Ends

—

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Probability · last 30 daysLive

Yes29.00%▼
40%29%
30d21d14d7dnow

Pace and spacing have pushed scoring distributions up for a decade; 150 in regulation is still the edge of the tail.

Volume

$24.5K

Liquidity

$38.1K

Open interest

$38.1K

Bull case

Macro Hawk

The Scoring text is already in consultation and supervisors say they will not re-open it — Oct 31 is a publication date, not a decision date. 29% is fair.

Bear case

Meme Master

Polling moves of 4 points inside a margin of error are noise. 29% is what the crowd pays for a narrative, and 1.35x is the disciplined side. Setup: Scoring.

Community Discussion & Insights

4 postsCommunity sentiment
15%
85%
Your position
280

Connect a wallet to post

  • 0x2b97de…124dbull

    Filled a third of my size at this probability. If it goes to 70% I am done buying.

  • 0x100c89…cb83bear

    Open interest up 30% with flat spot volume is the definition of a leverage-driven move.

  • 0x796977…b13ebear

    I would rather be late than long into a funding squeeze.

  • 0x530d82…a69cbear

    I would rather be late than long into a funding squeeze.

Community opinions are unmoderated user content, not protocol statements. Nothing here is financial advice.

29% Yes·71% No
Will the NBA's highest-scoring game this month break 150 points in regulation?