Will an esports grand final go to a deciding map this month?

Implied probability

52%

Liquidity

$32.1K

Traders

296

Ends

—

Probability · last 30 daysLive

Yes52.00%▲

52%41%

30d21d14d7dnow

Best-of-five finals resolve to a decider more often than the market usually prices, because seeding and patch changes compress the skill gap.

Volume

$19.8K

Liquidity

$32.1K

Open interest

$32.1K

Bull case

Macro Hawk

Map/series depth favours the deeper roster: the favourite has dropped only one deciding set all split and 1.85x still pays for it. Setup: the series.

Bear case

Meme Master

Ticket-count splits are a retail tell and they have been wrong four weeks running. 52% for the series is the side the book wants you to take.

Community Discussion & Insights

5 postsCommunity sentiment

33%

67%

Your position

280

Connect a wallet to post

0x9e721f…2e07bear
This is basis flow. When the spread closes, the bid disappears and everyone pretends they saw it coming.
0x37f4aa…c408bear
Open interest up 30% with flat spot volume is the definition of a leverage-driven move.
0x77723e…8eedbull
Exchange balances keep printing lower highs. Supply is leaving the venues and it is not coming back in a hurry.
0xc3194a…4850bear
Open interest up 30% with flat spot volume is the definition of a leverage-driven move.
0xa2c657…2f79bull
Funding is at 0.04% and spot is leading. That is accumulation, not froth.

Community opinions are unmoderated user content, not protocol statements. Nothing here is financial advice.