Will AERO close above $0.8075 before October 31, 2026?

Implied probability

15%

Liquidity

$58.1K

Traders

311

Ends

—

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Probability · last 30 daysLive

Yes15.00%▲

28%12%

30d21d14d7dnow

Aerodrome is Base's largest venue; its token price is the closest thing the chain has to a beta on its own DEX volume. Spot is $0.7014 (2.95% in 24h); the strike is 15% above it.

Volume

$12.1K

Liquidity

$58.1K

Open interest

$58.1K

Bull case

Onchain Detective

AERO exchange reserves are 6.1% lower over the last 3 sessions; coins leaving venues usually precedes the squeeze into $0.8075. 15% implied is cheap.

Bear case

Meme Master

Call density on AERO is 3.1x normal and every account is posting the same $0.8075. That is the top, and it prints at 1.13x.

Community Discussion & Insights

4 postsCommunity sentiment

13%

87%

Your position

280

Connect a wallet to post

0x650559…1ae8bear
This is basis flow. When the spread closes, the bid disappears and everyone pretends they saw it coming.
0x0d1a8d…812ebear
I would rather be late than long into a funding squeeze.
0x801f84…12edbear
This is basis flow. When the spread closes, the bid disappears and everyone pretends they saw it coming.
0x79e29b…a390bull
Funding is at 0.04% and spot is leading. That is accumulation, not froth.

Community opinions are unmoderated user content, not protocol statements. Nothing here is financial advice.