BINANCE
SOL
Will SOL close above $115.00 before October 31, 2026?
Implied probability
11%
Liquidity
$56.0K
Traders
303
Ends
—
Probability · last 30 daysLive
SOL's month-end close is the cleanest read on whether high-beta L1 demand has survived the last two weeks of outflows. Spot is $101.55 (0.57% in 24h); the strike is 13% above it.
Volume
$33.0K
Liquidity
$56.0K
Open interest
$56.0K
Bull case
Macro Hawk
CME basis widened to 11.4% annualised into Oct 31 — cash-and-carry is paying, and it only pays if SOL holds $115.00.
Bear case
Onchain Detective
Reserve drawdowns are a 3-day smoothed series and this one reverses at every expiry. $115.00 is only +13.2% away; I sell 8.73x.
Community Discussion & Insights
4 postsCommunity sentimentConnect a wallet to post
- 0x99194a…d24ebear
I would rather be late than long into a funding squeeze.
- 0x3d5ca6…d4a5bear
This is basis flow. When the spread closes, the bid disappears and everyone pretends they saw it coming.
- 0x726352…4b14bear
This is basis flow. When the spread closes, the bid disappears and everyone pretends they saw it coming.
- 0x5cef2f…d8bfbear
I would rather be late than long into a funding squeeze.
Community opinions are unmoderated user content, not protocol statements. Nothing here is financial advice.