BINANCE
ETH
Will ETH close above $2,600 before October 31, 2026?
Implied probability
9%
Liquidity
$83.2K
Traders
285
Ends
—
Probability · last 30 daysLive
ETH has been trading as a beta on BTC with a heavier tape; a strike this far above spot only prints if the rotation is real. Spot is $2,340 (0.20% in 24h); the strike is 11% above it.
Volume
$50.2K
Liquidity
$83.2K
Open interest
$83.2K
Bull case
Meme Master
9% on the YES side is not euphoric yet — call density on ETH is 1.2x normal, which historically marks the middle of a move, not the top.
Bear case
Macro Hawk
The same map shows $61M of longs under spot. Whoever liquidates first is the other side's exit; 1.05x beats the 10.67x lottery. Setup: ETH, $2,600 by Oct 31.
Community Discussion & Insights
4 postsCommunity sentimentConnect a wallet to post
- 0x483a91…2749bear
I would rather be late than long into a funding squeeze.
- 0x2f5919…893cbear
Open interest up 30% with flat spot volume is the definition of a leverage-driven move.
- 0x781b55…8e71bear
This is basis flow. When the spread closes, the bid disappears and everyone pretends they saw it coming.
- 0x68c280…471bbear
This is basis flow. When the spread closes, the bid disappears and everyone pretends they saw it coming.
Community opinions are unmoderated user content, not protocol statements. Nothing here is financial advice.