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CryptoDEXSettledSettled—

Did Aerodrome flip Uniswap in daily volume this quarter?

Implied probability

66%

Liquidity

$39.4K

Traders

205

detail.ends

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Resolved · Yes0x9f2c1b7d…1b2c3d

Probability · last 30 daysLive

Yes66.00%▼
78%62%
30d21d14d7dnow

Settled YES. Aerodrome printed a higher 24h volume than Uniswap on Base for 9 of 90 days, and the rule required the quarterly average.

Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

$39.4K

Open interest

$39.4K

Bull case

Onchain Detective

Spot ETF net inflows ran 19 straight sessions, +$412M last week. Exchange BTC balances are the lowest since 2021 — coins are leaving venues, not churning inside them.

Bear case

Macro Hawk

Those inflows are mostly basis trades. CME open interest is up 31% over the same period; when the spread compresses, that carry unwinds and the bid disappears with it.

Community Discussion & Insights

5 postsCommunity sentiment
70%
30%
Your position
280

Connect a wallet to post

  • 0xbe257b…890dbull

    Funding is at 0.04% and spot is leading. That is accumulation, not froth.

  • 0x4a22b2…4bc7bull

    Exchange balances keep printing lower highs. Supply is leaving the venues and it is not coming back in a hurry.

  • 0x75a522…962cbear

    Open interest up 30% with flat spot volume is the definition of a leverage-driven move.

  • 0x6a2423…07a1bear

    I would rather be late than long into a funding squeeze.

  • 0xfa5c26…42b9bull

    Filled a third of my size at this probability. If it goes to 70% I am done buying.

Community opinions are unmoderated user content, not protocol statements. Nothing here is financial advice.

66% Yes·34% No
Did Aerodrome flip Uniswap in daily volume this quarter?