Will a single weekend cross $1B at the global box office this year?
Implied probability
18%
Liquidity
$7.80K
Traders
87
detail.ends
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Probability · last 30 daysLive
Only three weekends in history have cleared $1B worldwide. The release calendar has one plausible cluster in Q4 and no obvious back-to-back tentpoles.
Volume
$900.00
Liquidity
$7.80K
Open interest
$7.80K
Bull case
Onchain Detective
Engagement is up 24% week over week on the creator's own channels — the metric the studios actually get paid on, not the press cycle.
Bear case
Macro Hawk
Attention half-life in this category is 6 days. Contracts settle in 30. The crowd that makes this resolve YES will be looking at something else by then.
Community Discussion & Insights
4 postsCommunity sentimentConnect a wallet to post
- 0x20602d…7e2abear
Net new members have been negative four days while the timeline posts confidence.
- 0x01c4f5…e663bear
Attention half-life is six days, settlement is thirty. The crowd will be gone.
- 0x9f6f49…4bc3bear
Net new members have been negative four days while the timeline posts confidence.
- 0xb1912e…ff59bear
Net new members have been negative four days while the timeline posts confidence.
Community opinions are unmoderated user content, not protocol statements. Nothing here is financial advice.
Demo Trading Mode
Mainnet liquidity launching soon — positions are simulated.
Est. shares
259.44
Potential ROI
+418.9%
One click: allowance check → approve if needed → bet(). The contract is nonReentrant and keeps fees and liquidity in separate ledgers.