Will Starship reach orbit twice within one quarter?
Implied probability
44%
Liquidity
$18.2K
Traders
174
detail.ends
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Probability · last 30 daysLive
Cadence, not capability, is the constraint. Two orbital insertions inside 90 days requires the launch tower and both vehicles to turn around cleanly.
Volume
$2.60K
Liquidity
$18.2K
Open interest
$18.2K
Bull case
Onchain Detective
Peer review is done and two independent labs reproduced the result inside six weeks — that is unusually fast for this field and it is the strongest signal available.
Bear case
Macro Hawk
Reproduced at bench scale, not at production scale. Every previous claim in this class died between the two.
Community Discussion & Insights
4 postsCommunity sentimentConnect a wallet to post
- 0xf8d00e…72d6bull
The interim dataset already covers the settlement question directly.
- 0xc24369…6d52bull
The interim dataset already covers the settlement question directly.
- 0x04c705…9859bull
Two independent labs reproduced it in six weeks. That speed is the signal.
- 0x241b9c…955fbull
Two independent labs reproduced it in six weeks. That speed is the signal.
Community opinions are unmoderated user content, not protocol statements. Nothing here is financial advice.
Demo Trading Mode
Mainnet liquidity launching soon — positions are simulated.
Est. shares
108.73
Potential ROI
+117.5%
One click: allowance check → approve if needed → bet(). The contract is nonReentrant and keeps fees and liquidity in separate ledgers.