Will the EU pass its AI Act enforcement package this quarter?
Implied probability
61%
Liquidity
$12.9K
Traders
128
detail.ends
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Probability · last 30 daysLive
Trilogue negotiations have stalled twice on the general-purpose model annex. Council and Parliament both want a deal before the summer recess.
Volume
$1.80K
Liquidity
$12.9K
Open interest
$12.9K
Bull case
Onchain Detective
Prediction-market liquidity on this question is 4x the polling average's sample size. Money is a better poll than a poll here.
Bear case
Macro Hawk
Money is also reflexive: 62% of the flow came from three wallets in the final 48 hours. That is a position, not a forecast.
Community Discussion & Insights
3 postsCommunity sentimentConnect a wallet to post
- 0x91684d…49abbull
The arbiter has read the criteria the same way twice before. Precedent matters more than polls.
- 0xe2db9c…8206bull
The arbiter has read the criteria the same way twice before. Precedent matters more than polls.
- 0x21cd52…127fbull
Committee calendar gives them a real window. This is not a coin flip.
Community opinions are unmoderated user content, not protocol statements. Nothing here is financial advice.
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Est. shares
78.50
Potential ROI
+57.0%
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