Will ETH/BTC reclaim 0.04 before year end?
Implied probability
35%
Liquidity
$64.3K
Traders
388
detail.ends
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Probability · last 30 daysLive
ETH/BTC has compressed for nine months. Staking yields are flat, but L2 fee burn and ETF flow rotation both argue for a catch-up trade. The ratio needs roughly +14% from here to clear the strike.
Volume
$9.70K
Liquidity
$64.3K
Open interest
$64.3K
Bull case
Onchain Detective
Spot ETF net inflows ran 19 straight sessions, +$412M last week. Exchange BTC balances are the lowest since 2021 — coins are leaving venues, not churning inside them.
Bear case
Macro Hawk
Those inflows are mostly basis trades. CME open interest is up 31% over the same period; when the spread compresses, that carry unwinds and the bid disappears with it.
Community Discussion & Insights
3 postsCommunity sentimentConnect a wallet to post
- 0xa26c19…448ebear
I would rather be late than long into a funding squeeze.
- 0xe2fe7c…4b79bear
Open interest up 30% with flat spot volume is the definition of a leverage-driven move.
- 0xc358cf…a704bear
I would rather be late than long into a funding squeeze.
Community opinions are unmoderated user content, not protocol statements. Nothing here is financial advice.
Demo Trading Mode
Mainnet liquidity launching soon — positions are simulated.
Est. shares
136.95
Potential ROI
+173.9%
One click: allowance check → approve if needed → bet(). The contract is nonReentrant and keeps fees and liquidity in separate ledgers.