Will Base break 5M daily active addresses this week?
Implied probability
83%
Liquidity
$76.8K
Traders
836
detail.ends
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Probability · last 30 daysLive
Measured on the 7-day rolling average of daily active addresses reported by L2Beat and the official Base dashboard. Three consumer apps crossed 1M weekly actives this month and gas has stayed sub-cent through the entire run.
Volume
$21.9K
Liquidity
$76.8K
Open interest
$76.8K
Bull case
Onchain Detective
Spot ETF net inflows ran 19 straight sessions, +$412M last week. Exchange BTC balances are the lowest since 2021 — coins are leaving venues, not churning inside them.
Bear case
Macro Hawk
Those inflows are mostly basis trades. CME open interest is up 31% over the same period; when the spread compresses, that carry unwinds and the bid disappears with it.
Community Discussion & Insights
3 postsCommunity sentimentConnect a wallet to post
- 0xee17a7…4e2abull
Filled a third of my size at this probability. If it goes to 70% I am done buying.
- 0x7a545d…2209bear
I would rather be late than long into a funding squeeze.
- 0x539205…9280bull
Filled a third of my size at this probability. If it goes to 70% I am done buying.
Community opinions are unmoderated user content, not protocol statements. Nothing here is financial advice.
Demo Trading Mode
Mainnet liquidity launching soon — positions are simulated.
Est. shares
57.82
Potential ROI
+15.6%
One click: allowance check → approve if needed → bet(). The contract is nonReentrant and keeps fees and liquidity in separate ledgers.