Will the next FOMC statement remove the phrase about inflation remaining elevated?

Implied probability

38%

Liquidity

$58.1K

Traders

297

Ends

—

Probability · last 30 daysLive

Yes38.00%▼

53%38%

30d21d14d7dnow

Statement language moves markets before the rate decision does. The phrase has survived multiple cuts; its removal is the signal.

Volume

$37.2K

Liquidity

$58.1K

Open interest

$58.1K

Bull case

Macro Hawk

The remaining window to Dec 3 is enough for one more repricing, and 38% still implies the market thinks YES is a tail. Setup: Rates.

Bear case

Onchain Detective

With $58.1K of depth, 2.53x is a headline number: one seller moves this 3%. The 1.55x is what the book can actually pay.

Community Discussion & Insights

4 postsCommunity sentiment

21%

79%

Your position

280

Connect a wallet to post

0x8c5241…1897bear
Deadline extensions have resolved NO in this venue three times out of four.
0xb64dbc…0c16bear
The wording leaves discretion and discretionary settlement is a coin flip.
0x6a78f6…e01fbear
Deadline extensions have resolved NO in this venue three times out of four.
0x49cacc…b0c4bull
Money has been early on this question twice. The flow is bigger than the polling margin now.

Community opinions are unmoderated user content, not protocol statements. Nothing here is financial advice.